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DCENTRIES 2ND WOX MAY 3 6.5F G36300 0 BUN 6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING PURSE $36300 (01:50) (7 )

🏟 Woodbine 📅 2026-05-03 📏 6½F Dirt OClm 10000 💰 $36,300
📡 Fetch History

Field — 7 Runners

1
BIG BABY HENRY
14.6%
RPR 78
Form --1--1121-
Off 156d
lbs 122
ML 8-1
J NICHOLLS KEVEH
T HALL PHILIP
By WAR DANCER Out of BABY AT THE PARK
🥇 14.6% 🥈 41.4% 🥉 68.7% Avg 3.0
2
ALWAYS A WAY
0.5%
RPR 79
Form 31--1233--
Off 7d
lbs 122
ML 10-1
J SALLES LEO
T CECCATO SHARON
By KHOZAN Out of SENSE WHEN
🥇 0.5% 🥈 3.2% 🥉 11.8% Avg 5.2 ⚡ 45 longshot wins
3
DIVINE LEADER
16.6%
RPR 83
Form --3-1-1---
Off 51d
lbs 122
ML 3-1
J CHERNETZ SKYE
T GITTENS DEVON
By WILL TAKE CHARGE Out of DIVINE TRICK
🥇 16.6% 🥈 52.4% 🥉 79.9% Avg 2.6
4
ECHO WITH LAUGHTER
65.7%
RPR 83
Form -31---3212
Off 140d
lbs 122
ML 2-1
J VIVES SOFIA
T POWELL DALE A
By OLD FORESTER Out of FRANTIC CITY
🥇 65.7% 🥈 89.1% 🥉 97.2% Avg 1.5
5
JAMIESTA
0.1%
RPR 80
Form ---32-----
Off 156d
lbs 122
ML 7-2
J SAMUEL JALON L
T RUSSO JOE S
By ARPISTA Out of JAMIE'S DANCER
🥇 0.1% 🥈 0.9% 🥉 3.9% Avg 6.0
6
PET SOUNDS
2.3%
RPR 77
Form ----2312-3
Off 156d
lbs 122
ML 6-1
J JONES SLADE
T YU DANNY
By AUDIBLE Out of FRIVOLITY
🥇 2.3% 🥈 11.0% 🥉 30.8% Avg 4.2
7
SECRET STORM
0.3%
RPR 76
Form ---211----
Off 140d
lbs 112
ML 12-1
J DOUGLAS CHRISTOFF
T PALMER KERRON
By TAMARKUZ Out of DON'T TELL LOU
🥇 0.3% 🥈 2.0% 🥉 7.7% Avg 5.5 ⚡ 27 longshot wins

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 3 DIVINE LEADER SPEED LEADER 83 3-1 51d 1-1--- 16.6%
2 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 83 2-1 140d --3212 65.7%
3 5 JAMIESTA 80.3 7-2 156d 2----- 0.1%
4 2 ALWAYS A WAY 79 10-1 7d 1233-- 0.5%
5 1 BIG BABY HENRY 78 8-1 156d -1121- 14.6%
6 6 PET SOUNDS 77 6-1 156d 2312-3 2.3%
7 7 SECRET STORM 76.7 12-1 140d 11---- 0.3%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-25 17:58:34
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER
65.67%
89.09% 97.22% 1.49 1 7 89.0 #2 ≈ —
2 3 DIVINE LEADER
16.58%
52.43% 79.91% 2.62 1 7 82.6 #1 ≈ —
3 1 BIG BABY HENRY
14.60%
41.41% 68.65% 3.00 1 7 81.2 #5 ≈ —
4 6 PET SOUNDS
2.30%
11.01% 30.82% 4.19 1 7 75.9 #6 ≈ —
5 2 ALWAYS A WAY
0.45%
3.22% 11.81% 5.17 1 7 72.0 #4 ≈ ⚡ 45
6 7 SECRET STORM
0.27%
1.95% 7.71% 5.54 1 7 70.5 #7 ≈ ⚡ 27
7 5 JAMIESTA
0.13%
0.89% 3.88% 5.99 1 7 68.4 #3 ▼ —

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 2-1 33.3%
65.67%
89.09% 97.22% ✅ 1.97x —
2 1 BIG BABY HENRY 8-1 11.1%
14.60%
41.41% 68.65% 1.31x —
3 3 DIVINE LEADER 3-1 25%
16.58%
52.43% 79.91% 0.66x —
4 6 PET SOUNDS 6-1 14.3%
2.30%
11.01% 30.82% 0.16x —
5 2 ALWAYS A WAY LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 10-1 9.1%
0.45%
3.22% 11.81% 0.05x ⚡ 45
6 7 SECRET STORM LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
0.27%
1.95% 7.71% 0.04x ⚡ 27
7 5 JAMIESTA 7-2 22.2%
0.13%
0.89% 3.88% 0.01x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 7 horses, ~14.3% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
5 JAMIESTA 16.6% 0.1% -16.5%
6 PET SOUNDS 14.4% 2.3% -12.1%
3 DIVINE LEADER 13.3% 16.6% +3.3%
2 ALWAYS A WAY 13.3% 0.5% -12.9%
1 BIG BABY HENRY 12.6% 14.6% +2.0%
7 SECRET STORM 11.7% 0.3% -11.4%
4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 11.3% 65.7% +54.4%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 65.7% 2-1
  2. 3 DIVINE LEADER 16.6% 3-1
  3. 1 BIG BABY HENRY 14.6% 8-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 89.1% 2-1
  2. 3 DIVINE LEADER 52.4% 3-1
  3. 1 BIG BABY HENRY 41.4% 8-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 97.2% 2-1
  2. 3 DIVINE LEADER 79.9% 3-1
  3. 1 BIG BABY HENRY 68.7% 8-1
📋 Exacta Box
4-3-1
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER 3 DIVINE LEADER 1 BIG BABY HENRY
🎲 Trifecta
4-3-1
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
4 → 3-1-6
Key ECHO WITH LAUGHTER to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
4-3-1-6
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
4/3 / 4/3 / 1/6/2 / 1/6/2
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

🏆 Actual Results

#ProgHorse Finish Margin Odds Sim Predicted
1 4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER — 1 Sim #1 (65.7% win)
2 1 BIG BABY HENRY — 4 Sim #3 (14.6% win)
3 7 SECRET STORM — 19 Sim #6 (0.3% win)
4 2 ALWAYS A WAY — 11 Sim #5 (0.5% win)
5 3 DIVINE LEADER — 5/2 Sim #2 (16.6% win)
6 5 JAMIESTA — 10 Sim #7 (0.1% win)
7 6 PET SOUNDS — 23 Sim #4 (2.3% win)

Official winner: ECHO WITH LAUGHTER

✏️ Edit Results
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
4 ECHO WITH LAUGHTER
1 BIG BABY HENRY
7 SECRET STORM
2 ALWAYS A WAY
3 DIVINE LEADER
5 JAMIESTA
6 PET SOUNDS