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DMENTRIES 1ST RPX MAY 1 J9000 15000 0 GON 330.00 FURLONGS DIRT MIXED OPEN 3 ; 4; AND 5 YEAR OLDS MAIDEN CLAIMING 15000-ALL PURSE $9000 (06:00) (10)

🏟 Remington Park 📅 2026-05-01 📏 330Y Dirt Md 15000 💰 $9,000
📡 Fetch History

Field — 10 Runners

1
OVER THE TURNPIKE
22.7%
RPR 75
Form -3---
Off 294d
lbs 124
ML 7-2
J MARTINEZ ARAM S
T CALDWELL TANA
By PAINTED TURNPIKE Out of MY BANDERA BEAUTY
🥇 22.7% 🥈 38.1% 🥉 49.3% Avg 4.2
2
BUSTERS LITTLE MISS
4.7%
RPR 70
Form ------
Off 294d
lbs 126
ML 10-1
J ESQUEDA CHRISTIAN
T HALCOMB DENNY R
By PAINTED TURNPIKE Out of WHO DIS LIL MISS
🥇 4.7% 🥈 11.2% 🥉 18.2% Avg 6.5 ⚡ 471 longshot wins
3
NANAS MOON BUG
2.6%
RPR 68
Form ------
Off 42d
lbs 124
ML 6-1
J ALVAREZ DAVID JR
T WRIGHT ALBERT
By FURRTREEOUS Out of SHOWTIME LADYBUG TWO
🥇 2.6% 🥈 10.3% 🥉 25.5% Avg 4.8
4
COMO CHACHINGAS
2.6%
RPR 77
Form ------2--
Off 169d
lbs 124
ML 20-1
J GUTIERREZ GONZALO
T AGUILAR ABLE
By A SWEET JESS Out of CHA CHING
🥇 2.6% 🥈 10.6% 🥉 24.9% Avg 4.8 ⚡ 257 longshot wins
5
CAPTAIN JUDY
11.9%
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J BENN CORDARELTON J
T NORTON MALLORY
By IM THE CAPTAIN NOW Out of JUDYS MISS BANKS
🥇 11.9% 🥈 20.3% 🥉 27.0% Avg 6.3 ⚡ 1186 longshot wins
6
ANA RUNNIN CHAOS
8.3%
RPR 63
Form -
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 20-1
J JAQUEZ OSCAR
T QUINONES-SARMIENTO GERARDO
By CALL SIGN CHAOS Out of GOSPEL RUNNIN GAL
🥇 8.3% 🥈 18.3% 🥉 26.7% Avg 5.8 ⚡ 834 longshot wins
7
APOLLITICAL EXPRESS
23.8%
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J SMITH CODY RODGER
T AGUILAR ABLE
By PHQ APOLLITICAL JESS Out of G I JANE EXPRESS
🥇 23.8% 🥈 35.6% 🥉 43.1% Avg 4.9
8
CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE
2.3%
RPR 69
Form 3-----
Off 287d
lbs 124
ML 9-2
J RAMIREZ ALEXIS E
T ARROYO GERARDO
By IM THE CAPTAIN NOW Out of KN RED KRYPTONITE
🥇 2.3% 🥈 5.8% 🥉 10.3% Avg 7.1
9
DTL RAMBLIN MAN
18.2%
RPR 79
Form ---23-2-
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 5-2
J DOMINGUEZ JONATHAN
T CHAVEZ-GUTIERREZ MARCO ADAIR
By PRIZED WAGON Out of RAMBLIN KATE
🥇 18.2% 🥈 43.3% 🥉 64.6% Avg 3.2
10
SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE
2.9%
RPR 53
Form -
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 12-1
J VEGA RANDY
T LOPEZ JOAQUIN
By PAINTED TURNPIKE Out of SNOW ME THE PADDICK
🥇 2.9% 🥈 6.5% 🥉 10.5% Avg 7.5 ⚡ 293 longshot wins

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN SPEED LEADER 79.3 5-2 21d -23-2- 18.2%
2 4 COMO CHACHINGAS 77.3 20-1 169d ---2-- 2.6%
3 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 75 7-2 294d -3--- 22.7%
4 2 BUSTERS LITTLE MISS 70.3 10-1 294d ------ 4.7%
5 8 CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE 69.7 9-2 287d 3----- 2.3%
6 3 NANAS MOON BUG 68 6-1 42d ------ 2.6%
7 6 ANA RUNNIN CHAOS 63 20-1 21d - 8.3%
8 10 SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE 53 12-1 21d - 2.9%
9 5 CAPTAIN JUDY — First starter 15-1 — — 11.9%
10 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS — First starter 8-1 — — 23.8%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-18 20:01:26
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS
23.76%
35.58% 43.11% 4.93 1 10 66.8 #10 ▲ —
2 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE
22.72%
38.08% 49.25% 4.21 1 10 70.3 #3 ≈ —
3 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN
18.22%
43.31% 64.61% 3.15 1 10 73.3 #1 ≈ —
4 5 CAPTAIN JUDY
11.86%
20.32% 27.03% 6.29 1 10 57.2 #9 ▲ ⚡ 1186
5 6 ANA RUNNIN CHAOS
8.34%
18.32% 26.72% 5.79 1 10 61.6 #7 ≈ ⚡ 834
6 2 BUSTERS LITTLE MISS
4.71%
11.15% 18.17% 6.46 1 10 57.8 #4 ≈ ⚡ 471
7 10 SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE
2.93%
6.49% 10.50% 7.45 1 10 51.5 #8 ≈ ⚡ 293
8 3 NANAS MOON BUG
2.58%
10.34% 25.48% 4.76 1 10 66.4 #6 ≈ —
9 4 COMO CHACHINGAS
2.57%
10.61% 24.87% 4.82 1 10 66.0 #2 ▼ ⚡ 257
10 8 CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE
2.31%
5.80% 10.26% 7.14 1 10 54.6 #5 ▼ —

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 8-1 11.1%
23.76%
35.58% 43.11% 🔥 2.14x —
2 5 CAPTAIN JUDY LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 15-1 6.3%
11.86%
20.32% 27.03% ✅ 1.90x ⚡ 1186
3 6 ANA RUNNIN CHAOS LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
8.34%
18.32% 26.72% ✅ 1.75x ⚡ 834
4 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 7-2 22.2%
22.72%
38.08% 49.25% 1.02x —
5 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN 5-2 28.6%
18.22%
43.31% 64.61% 0.64x —
6 4 COMO CHACHINGAS LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
2.57%
10.61% 24.87% 0.54x ⚡ 257
7 2 BUSTERS LITTLE MISS LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
4.71%
11.15% 18.17% 0.52x ⚡ 471
8 10 SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
2.93%
6.49% 10.50% 0.38x ⚡ 293
9 3 NANAS MOON BUG 6-1 14.3%
2.58%
10.34% 25.48% 0.18x —
10 8 CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE 9-2 18.2%
2.31%
5.80% 10.26% 0.13x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 10 horses, ~10% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
8 CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE 11.9% 2.3% -9.6%
5 CAPTAIN JUDY 11.2% 11.9% +0.7%
10 SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE 11.2% 2.9% -8.3%
9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN 11.1% 18.2% +7.1%
7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 11.0% 23.8% +12.8%
1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 10.3% 22.7% +12.4%
4 COMO CHACHINGAS 9.1% 2.6% -6.5%
3 NANAS MOON BUG 8.1% 2.6% -5.5%
6 ANA RUNNIN CHAOS 7.6% 8.3% +0.7%
2 BUSTERS LITTLE MISS 7.2% 4.7% -2.5%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 23.8% 8-1
  2. 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 22.7% 7-2
  3. 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN 18.2% 5-2
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN 43.3% 5-2
  2. 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 38.1% 7-2
  3. 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 35.6% 8-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN 64.6% 5-2
  2. 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 49.3% 7-2
  3. 7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 43.1% 8-1
📋 Exacta Box
7-1-9
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS 1 OVER THE TURNPIKE 9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN
🎲 Trifecta
7-1-9
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
7 → 1-9-5
Key APOLLITICAL EXPRESS to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
7-1-9-5
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
7/1 / 7/1 / 9/5/6 / 9/5/6
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 OVER THE TURNPIKE
2 BUSTERS LITTLE MISS
3 NANAS MOON BUG
4 COMO CHACHINGAS
5 CAPTAIN JUDY
6 ANA RUNNIN CHAOS
7 APOLLITICAL EXPRESS
8 CAPTAIN KRYPTONITE
9 DTL RAMBLIN MAN
10 SNOW ME THE TURNPIKE