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DMENTRIES 2ND RPX MAY 1 STATE-BRED J19500 10000 0 GON 300.00 FURLONGS DIRT QUARTER HORSE OPEN 3 ; 4; AND 5 YEAR OLDS MAIDEN CLAIMING 10000-ALL PURSE $19500 (06:27) (10)

🏟 Remington Park 📅 2026-05-01 📏 300Y Dirt Md 10000 💰 $19,500
📡 Fetch History

Field — 10 Runners

1
FOUR FIVE TIMES
12.7%
RPR 61
Form -----
Off 14d
lbs 126
ML 15-1
J CHAVEZ RUBEN E
T WALKER GARY K
By ONE VALIANT HERO Out of SHAKE A LITTLE SALT
🥇 12.7% 🥈 21.6% 🥉 28.2% Avg 6.3 ⚡ 1272 longshot wins
2
CLA RED EARTH
9.4%
RPR 76
Form ---2----
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 12-1
J CRUZ ROMAN
T WRIGHT ALBERT
By RYDER RITE Out of A CHA CHING
🥇 9.4% 🥈 22.4% 🥉 35.4% Avg 4.9 ⚡ 944 longshot wins
3
RECKLESS FOLLIES
18.4%
RPR 74
Form -322--
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J JAQUEZ OSCAR
T GONZALEZ JORGE
By DASH TO FOLLIES Out of THE RAVE
🥇 18.4% 🥈 34.5% 🥉 48.0% Avg 4.2 ⚡ 1842 longshot wins
4
SS ONE CHANCE FANCY
2.9%
RPR 63
Form ------
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 20-1
J ESQUEDA CHRISTIAN
T MARTINEZ ANTONIO S
By IM A FANCY PYC Out of HAND ME THAT CORONA
🥇 2.9% 🥈 7.8% 🥉 15.2% Avg 6.5 ⚡ 288 longshot wins
5
THIS GALS NOT EASY
10.8%
RPR 79
Form ------
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 5-1
J RAUDALES ROLANDO
T VALDIVIA GUILLERMO
By KVN CORONA Out of EYE MY FABULOUS GAL
🥇 10.8% 🥈 23.4% 🥉 35.0% Avg 5.0
6
BTD ROYALLY FUN
12.5%
RPR 76
Form ----3-3
Off 14d
lbs 124
ML 2-1
J DOMINGUEZ JONATHAN
T GAMEZ JOSE
By PYC FUN N FANCY Out of RELENTLESSLY ROYAL
🥇 12.5% 🥈 32.9% 🥉 54.5% Avg 3.6
7
KWEEN VICTORIA
24.7%
RPR 74
Form --2----
Off 14d
lbs 126
ML 12-1
J ALVAREZ DAVID JR
T CRAWFORD TYLER COLE
By VAN ZANT Out of MAJESSTIC CORONA
🥇 24.7% 🥈 34.4% 🥉 40.7% Avg 5.4 ⚡ 2469 longshot wins
8
SS FIRST DOWN FANCY
0.1%
RPR 66
Form -----3
Off 33d
lbs 124
ML 4-1
J VEGA JOSE
T VALDIVIA SAMUEL E
By IM A FANCY PYC Out of HAND ME THAT CORONA
🥇 0.1% 🥈 0.5% 🥉 1.9% Avg 7.7
9
THEOS SWEET CHICK
1.5%
RPR 68
Form ---
Off 337d
lbs 126
ML 6-1
J VALENZUELA JOHN RAUL JR
T PUGH JALEN DELENZY
By COUNTRY CHICKS MAN Out of TANGLE ANGEL
🥇 1.5% 🥈 5.2% 🥉 12.4% Avg 6.2
10
JESS AIR EM
7.0%
RPR 68
Form -322
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J ESQUEDA ERIK N
T ADDICOTT RONALD W
By JESS JONES Out of PARK AVENUE AIR
🥇 7.0% 🥈 17.3% 🥉 28.7% Avg 5.3

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 5 THIS GALS NOT EASY SPEED LEADER 79.7 5-1 36d ------ 10.8%
2 2 CLA RED EARTH 76.3 12-1 36d -2---- 9.4%
3 6 BTD ROYALLY FUN 76 2-1 14d ---3-3 12.5%
4 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 74.7 15-1 21d -322-- 18.4%
5 7 KWEEN VICTORIA 74.3 12-1 14d -2---- 24.7%
6 9 THEOS SWEET CHICK 68 6-1 337d --- 1.5%
7 10 JESS AIR EM 68 8-1 36d -322 7.0%
8 8 SS FIRST DOWN FANCY 66.3 4-1 33d -----3 0.1%
9 4 SS ONE CHANCE FANCY 63.7 20-1 36d ------ 2.9%
10 1 FOUR FIVE TIMES 61.7 15-1 14d ----- 12.7%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-18 20:01:27
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 7 KWEEN VICTORIA
24.69%
34.36% 40.65% 5.41 1 10 63.3 #5 ▲ ⚡ 2469
2 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES
18.42%
34.48% 47.99% 4.23 1 10 68.6 #4 ≈ ⚡ 1842
3 1 FOUR FIVE TIMES
12.72%
21.61% 28.24% 6.30 1 10 57.9 #10 ▲ ⚡ 1272
4 6 BTD ROYALLY FUN
12.50%
32.90% 54.50% 3.55 1 10 70.2 #3 ≈ —
5 5 THIS GALS NOT EASY
10.75%
23.44% 35.01% 5.05 1 10 64.8 #1 ▼ —
6 2 CLA RED EARTH
9.44%
22.40% 35.42% 4.86 1 10 65.3 #2 ▼ ⚡ 944
7 10 JESS AIR EM
6.97%
17.32% 28.66% 5.28 1 10 63.7 #7 ≈ —
8 4 SS ONE CHANCE FANCY
2.88%
7.80% 15.18% 6.48 1 10 59.0 #9 ≈ ⚡ 288
9 9 THEOS SWEET CHICK
1.52%
5.17% 12.44% 6.18 1 10 60.2 #6 ▼ —
10 8 SS FIRST DOWN FANCY
0.11%
0.52% 1.91% 7.66 1 10 55.1 #8 ≈ —

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 7 KWEEN VICTORIA LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 12-1 7.7%
24.69%
34.36% 40.65% 🔥 3.21x ⚡ 2469
2 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
18.42%
34.48% 47.99% 🔥 2.95x ⚡ 1842
3 1 FOUR FIVE TIMES LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
12.72%
21.61% 28.24% 🔥 2.04x ⚡ 1272
4 2 CLA RED EARTH LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
9.44%
22.40% 35.42% 1.23x ⚡ 944
5 5 THIS GALS NOT EASY 5-1 16.7%
10.75%
23.44% 35.01% 0.64x —
6 10 JESS AIR EM 8-1 11.1%
6.97%
17.32% 28.66% 0.63x —
7 4 SS ONE CHANCE FANCY LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
2.88%
7.80% 15.18% 0.60x ⚡ 288
8 6 BTD ROYALLY FUN 2-1 33.3%
12.50%
32.90% 54.50% 0.38x —
9 9 THEOS SWEET CHICK 6-1 14.3%
1.52%
5.17% 12.44% 0.11x —
10 8 SS FIRST DOWN FANCY 4-1 20%
0.11%
0.52% 1.91% 0.01x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 10 horses, ~10% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
2 CLA RED EARTH 12.8% 9.4% -3.4%
3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 11.5% 18.4% +6.9%
8 SS FIRST DOWN FANCY 11.4% 0.1% -11.3%
6 BTD ROYALLY FUN 11.2% 12.5% +1.3%
10 JESS AIR EM 9.9% 7.0% -2.9%
7 KWEEN VICTORIA 9.5% 24.7% +15.2%
4 SS ONE CHANCE FANCY 9.3% 2.9% -6.4%
1 FOUR FIVE TIMES 8.7% 12.7% +4.0%
9 THEOS SWEET CHICK 7.9% 1.5% -6.4%
5 THIS GALS NOT EASY 7.5% 10.8% +3.3%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 7 KWEEN VICTORIA 24.7% 12-1
  2. 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 18.4% 15-1
  3. 1 FOUR FIVE TIMES 12.7% 15-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 34.5% 15-1
  2. 7 KWEEN VICTORIA 34.4% 12-1
  3. 6 BTD ROYALLY FUN 32.9% 2-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 6 BTD ROYALLY FUN 54.5% 2-1
  2. 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 48.0% 15-1
  3. 7 KWEEN VICTORIA 40.7% 12-1
📋 Exacta Box
7-3-1
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
7 KWEEN VICTORIA 3 RECKLESS FOLLIES 1 FOUR FIVE TIMES
🎲 Trifecta
7-3-1
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
7 → 3-1-6
Key KWEEN VICTORIA to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
7-3-1-6
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
7/3 / 7/3 / 1/6/5 / 1/6/5
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 FOUR FIVE TIMES
2 CLA RED EARTH
3 RECKLESS FOLLIES
4 SS ONE CHANCE FANCY
5 THIS GALS NOT EASY
6 BTD ROYALLY FUN
7 KWEEN VICTORIA
8 SS FIRST DOWN FANCY
9 THEOS SWEET CHICK
10 JESS AIR EM