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DNENTRIES 5TH DED MAY 1 STATE-BRED I10000 0 AOC 330.00 FURLONGS DIRT QUARTER HORSE COLTS AND GELDINGS 2 YEAR OLDS TRIALS PURSE $10000 (06:25) (9 )

🏟 Delta Downs 📅 2026-05-01 📏 330Y Dirt Trial 💰 $10,000
📡 Fetch History

Field — 9 Runners

1
HEY PAL
6.7%
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J GARCIA JORGE JAVIER
T FIERRO CARLOS A
By INSPYRE Out of THROW THE HEAT
🥇 6.7% 🥈 16.3% 🥉 26.3% Avg 5.5 ⚡ 674 longshot wins
2
KASH IS ZOOMIN
9.7%
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J RODRIGUEZ LEONARDO
T KEITH LARRY D
By ZOOMIN FOR BUX Out of SHE STOLI MY HEART
🥇 9.7% 🥈 22.8% 🥉 35.8% Avg 4.9
3
KJ MEDUZZA
62.6%
RPR 95
Form -2
Off 34d
lbs 124
ML 9-5
J DURAN NESTOR
T PIZANA MIGUEL
By KJ MUCHO MACHO MAN Out of MEDUZZA
🥇 62.6% 🥈 91.6% 🥉 98.7% Avg 1.5
4
EL PILOTO PS
0.1%
RPR 79
Form 3-
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 7-2
J VITAL HUMBERTO
T HUITRON ROGELIO
By SAN LORENZO Out of ZINGAZINGAZANGZANG
🥇 0.1% 🥈 10.2% 🥉 34.1% Avg 4.1
5
THE LA SCORPION
5.8%
lbs 124
ML 12-1
J EDISON RANDY JR
T CARRIZALES JOSE
By THE LOUISIANA CARTEL Out of JB RED SCORPION
🥇 5.8% 🥈 15.5% 🥉 25.6% Avg 5.6 ⚡ 578 longshot wins
6
MANSA MUSAA
5.0%
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J RODRIGUEZ JOSE ARIEL
T ROBERTS KENNETH
By HES INNOCENT Out of HICLASS LITTLE LILY
🥇 5.0% 🥈 13.2% 🥉 22.7% Avg 5.8 ⚡ 498 longshot wins
7
COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA
8.6%
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J CASTANEDA NOE
T LOPEZ JOSE U
By TEE COS Out of MAMMA JAMMA JAMMA
🥇 8.6% 🥈 21.1% 🥉 33.1% Avg 5.1
8
BIGG TYMER STONE
1.3%
RPR 77
Form -
Off 54d
lbs 124
ML 9-2
J LUNA UBALDO
T MIRANDA ADALBERTO
By APOLLITICAL BLOOD Out of TF DASHIN MS PERRY
🥇 1.3% 🥈 6.9% 🥉 16.8% Avg 5.8
9
LEVON
0.3%
RPR 70
Form -
Off 55d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J EDISON R B
T RIGDON PAUL R
By SAN LORENZO Out of GEE WHIT
🥇 0.3% 🥈 2.5% 🥉 7.0% Avg 6.8 ⚡ 30 longshot wins

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 3 KJ MEDUZZA SPEED LEADER 95.5 9-5 34d -2 62.6%
2 4 EL PILOTO PS 79.5 7-2 36d 3- 0.1%
3 8 BIGG TYMER STONE 77 9-2 54d - 1.3%
4 9 LEVON 70 10-1 55d - 0.3%
5 1 HEY PAL — First starter 15-1 — — 6.7%
6 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN — First starter 8-1 — — 9.7%
7 5 THE LA SCORPION — First starter 12-1 — — 5.8%
8 6 MANSA MUSAA — First starter 15-1 — — 5.0%
9 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA — First starter 8-1 — — 8.6%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-05-18 20:01:26
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 3 KJ MEDUZZA
62.55%
91.63% 98.71% 1.47 1 6 104.3 #1 ≈ —
2 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN
9.71%
22.78% 35.77% 4.90 1 9 77.8 #6 ▲ —
3 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA
8.56%
21.06% 33.05% 5.05 1 9 76.2 #9 ▲ —
4 1 HEY PAL
6.74%
16.28% 26.32% 5.49 1 9 72.2 #5 ≈ ⚡ 674
5 5 THE LA SCORPION
5.78%
15.51% 25.60% 5.60 1 9 71.1 #7 ≈ ⚡ 578
6 6 MANSA MUSAA
4.98%
13.17% 22.74% 5.80 1 9 69.4 #8 ≈ ⚡ 498
7 8 BIGG TYMER STONE
1.25%
6.87% 16.79% 5.77 1 9 70.7 #3 ▼ —
8 9 LEVON
0.30%
2.54% 6.97% 6.78 1 9 62.7 #4 ▼ ⚡ 30
9 4 EL PILOTO PS
0.13%
10.16% 34.05% 4.14 1 9 82.0 #2 ▼ —

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 3 KJ MEDUZZA 9-5 35.7%
62.55%
91.63% 98.71% ✅ 1.75x —
2 1 HEY PAL LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 15-1 6.3%
6.74%
16.28% 26.32% 1.08x ⚡ 674
3 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 8-1 11.1%
9.71%
22.78% 35.77% 0.87x —
4 6 MANSA MUSAA LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
4.98%
13.17% 22.74% 0.80x ⚡ 498
5 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA 8-1 11.1%
8.56%
21.06% 33.05% 0.77x —
6 5 THE LA SCORPION LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
5.78%
15.51% 25.60% 0.75x ⚡ 578
7 8 BIGG TYMER STONE 9-2 18.2%
1.25%
6.87% 16.79% 0.07x —
8 9 LEVON LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
0.30%
2.54% 6.97% 0.03x ⚡ 30
9 4 EL PILOTO PS 7-2 22.2%
0.13%
10.16% 34.05% 0.01x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 9 horses, ~11.1% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA 14.0% 8.6% -5.4%
6 MANSA MUSAA 12.2% 5.0% -7.2%
5 THE LA SCORPION 10.3% 5.8% -4.5%
9 LEVON 10.0% 0.3% -9.7%
1 HEY PAL 9.2% 6.7% -2.5%
4 EL PILOTO PS 8.8% 0.1% -8.7%
8 BIGG TYMER STONE 8.7% 1.3% -7.4%
2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 8.4% 9.7% +1.3%
3 KJ MEDUZZA 8.2% 62.6% +54.3%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 3 KJ MEDUZZA 62.6% 9-5
  2. 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 9.7% 8-1
  3. 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA 8.6% 8-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 3 KJ MEDUZZA 91.6% 9-5
  2. 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 22.8% 8-1
  3. 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA 21.1% 8-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 3 KJ MEDUZZA 98.7% 9-5
  2. 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 35.8% 8-1
  3. 4 EL PILOTO PS 34.1% 7-2
📋 Exacta Box
3-2-7
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
3 KJ MEDUZZA 2 KASH IS ZOOMIN 7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA
🎲 Trifecta
3-2-7
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
3 → 2-7-1
Key KJ MEDUZZA to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
3-2-7-1
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
3/2 / 3/2 / 7/1/5 / 7/1/5
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 HEY PAL
2 KASH IS ZOOMIN
3 KJ MEDUZZA
4 EL PILOTO PS
5 THE LA SCORPION
6 MANSA MUSAA
7 COSIMABADMAMMAJAMMA
8 BIGG TYMER STONE
9 LEVON