ThoroughSim TS
  • Races
  • Tools
  • Import DRF
  • Calibration
  • Admin
  1. Dashboard
  2. Saratoga
  3. R9 — TGENTRIES 9TH SAR JUNE 6 5.5F J500000 1 BUN 5 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP GRADE 1 STAKE PURSE $500000 (04:13) (10)
Import DRF Add Race
⚡ Running Simulation…
0 of — simulations
0%
Current Leaders
  1. Waiting for first results…
Initialising…

← All Races

TGENTRIES 9TH SAR JUNE 6 5.5F J500000 1 BUN 5 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP GRADE 1 STAKE PURSE $500000 (04:13) (10)

🏟 Saratoga 📅 2026-06-06 📏 5½F Turf Jaipur-G1 💰 $500,000
📡 Fetch History

Field — 10 Runners

1
GOVERNOR SAM
18.0%
RPR 94
Form ---321-331
Off 34d
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J LOPEZ PASCACIO
T WEAVER GEORGE
By IMPROBABLE Out of I'M BETTY G
🥇 18.0% 🥈 47.4% 🥉 73.6% Avg 2.8 ⚡ 1800 longshot wins
2
BOLD JOURNEY
0.6%
RPR 97
Form 3132-222-2
Off 50d
lbs 124
ML 30-1
J ALVARADO JUNIOR
T MOTT WILLIAM I
By HARD SPUN Out of POLLY FREEZE
🥇 0.6% 🥈 2.5% 🥉 5.7% Avg 7.6 ⚡ 55 longshot wins
3
LITIGATION
38.1%
RPR 97
Form 3-11-12111
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 7-2
J GEROUX FLORENT
T LYNCH BRIAN A
By TWIRLING CANDY Out of ARGUE
🥇 38.1% 🥈 66.4% 🥉 81.9% Avg 2.3
4
WORKS FOR ME
6.2%
RPR 98
Form 1-21213-12
Off 49d
lbs 124
ML 6-1
J PRAT FLAVIEN
T LEE JOSEPH
By DADDY LONG LEGS Out of BELLA'S GAME
🥇 6.2% 🥈 17.6% 🥉 32.5% Avg 4.8
5
REEF RUNNER
3.9%
RPR 97
Form -11-121332
Off 70d
lbs 126
ML 4-1
J ORTIZ IRAD JR
T FAWKES DAVID
By THE BIG BEAST Out of PARADISE BAY
🥇 3.9% 🥈 14.2% 🥉 31.6% Avg 4.6
6
AG BULLET
0.4%
RPR 101
Form 1211-13111
Off 188d
lbs 121
ML 3-1
J VELAZQUEZ J R
T BALTAS RICHARD
By TWIRLING CANDY Out of NOBLE GREY
🥇 0.4% 🥈 1.8% 🥉 5.3% Avg 6.8
7
CLOCK TOWER
0.1%
RPR 89
Form 3-12111113
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 20-1
J DAVIS DYLAN
T WARD WESLEY A
By NOT THIS TIME Out of HOT STONES
🥇 0.1% 🥈 0.7% 🥉 2.5% Avg 7.6 ⚡ 13 longshot wins
8
JOHN THE BEER MAN
0.8%
RPR 90
Form 113--
Off 42d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J CARMOUCHE K
T ATRAS ROB
By MORE THAN READY Out of TROPHY WIFE
🥇 0.8% 🥈 2.6% 🥉 5.9% Avg 7.8 ⚡ 76 longshot wins
9
TWENTY SIX BLACK
0.8%
RPR 96
Form 21312---12
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 12-1
J FRANCO MANUEL
T DE PAZ HORACIO
By WAR DANCER Out of BRAZO DE ORO
🥇 0.8% 🥈 3.5% 🥉 9.5% Avg 6.2 ⚡ 81 longshot wins
10
MY BOY PRINCE
31.0%
RPR 97
Form -113221221
Off 35d
lbs 126
ML 5-1
J ORTIZ JOSE L
T CASSE MARK
By CAIRO PRINCE Out of HOPPING NOT HOPING
🥇 31.0% 🥈 43.2% 🥉 51.6% Avg 4.4

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 6 AG BULLET SPEED LEADER 101.7 3-1 188d -13111 0.4%
2 4 WORKS FOR ME 98.7 6-1 49d 213-12 6.2%
3 2 BOLD JOURNEY 97.7 30-1 50d -222-2 0.6%
4 3 LITIGATION 97.7 7-2 35d -12111 38.1%
5 10 MY BOY PRINCE 97.7 5-1 35d 221221 31.0%
6 5 REEF RUNNER 97 4-1 70d 121332 3.9%
7 9 TWENTY SIX BLACK 96 12-1 35d 2---12 0.8%
8 1 GOVERNOR SAM 94.7 15-1 34d 21-331 18.0%
9 8 JOHN THE BEER MAN 90.3 10-1 42d 113-- 0.8%
10 7 CLOCK TOWER 89 20-1 35d 111113 0.1%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-07-01 08:39:46
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 3 LITIGATION
38.14%
66.36% 81.86% 2.31 1 10 118.4 #4 ▲ —
2 10 MY BOY PRINCE
31.04%
43.21% 51.55% 4.43 1 10 112.2 #5 ▲ —
3 1 GOVERNOR SAM
18.00%
47.43% 73.60% 2.83 1 10 115.1 #8 ▲ ⚡ 1800
4 4 WORKS FOR ME
6.22%
17.55% 32.48% 4.82 1 10 108.5 #2 ≈ —
5 5 REEF RUNNER
3.92%
14.24% 31.62% 4.60 1 10 108.9 #6 ≈ —
6 9 TWENTY SIX BLACK
0.81%
3.50% 9.54% 6.19 1 10 104.3 #7 ≈ ⚡ 81
7 8 JOHN THE BEER MAN
0.76%
2.61% 5.94% 7.78 1 10 98.4 #9 ≈ ⚡ 76
8 2 BOLD JOURNEY
0.55%
2.54% 5.69% 7.63 1 10 99.2 #3 ▼ ⚡ 55
9 6 AG BULLET
0.43%
1.84% 5.26% 6.83 1 10 102.3 #1 ▼ —
10 7 CLOCK TOWER
0.13%
0.72% 2.46% 7.60 1 10 100.1 #10 ≈ ⚡ 13

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 1 GOVERNOR SAM LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 15-1 6.3%
18.00%
47.43% 73.60% 🔥 2.88x ⚡ 1800
2 10 MY BOY PRINCE 5-1 16.7%
31.04%
43.21% 51.55% ✅ 1.86x —
3 3 LITIGATION 7-2 22.2%
38.14%
66.36% 81.86% ✅ 1.72x —
4 4 WORKS FOR ME 6-1 14.3%
6.22%
17.55% 32.48% 0.44x —
5 5 REEF RUNNER 4-1 20%
3.92%
14.24% 31.62% 0.20x —
6 2 BOLD JOURNEY LONGSHOT 30-1 3.2%
0.55%
2.54% 5.69% 0.17x ⚡ 55
7 9 TWENTY SIX BLACK LONGSHOT 12-1 7.7%
0.81%
3.50% 9.54% 0.11x ⚡ 81
8 8 JOHN THE BEER MAN LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
0.76%
2.61% 5.94% 0.08x ⚡ 76
9 7 CLOCK TOWER LONGSHOT 20-1 4.8%
0.13%
0.72% 2.46% 0.03x ⚡ 13
10 6 AG BULLET 3-1 25%
0.43%
1.84% 5.26% 0.02x —

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 10 horses, ~10% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
4 WORKS FOR ME 12.8% 6.2% -6.6%
6 AG BULLET 12.4% 0.4% -12.0%
5 REEF RUNNER 12.0% 3.9% -8.1%
1 GOVERNOR SAM 11.1% 18.0% +6.9%
3 LITIGATION 10.5% 38.1% +27.6%
2 BOLD JOURNEY 9.8% 0.6% -9.3%
7 CLOCK TOWER 9.5% 0.1% -9.4%
9 TWENTY SIX BLACK 7.6% 0.8% -6.8%
8 JOHN THE BEER MAN 7.6% 0.8% -6.8%
10 MY BOY PRINCE 7.3% 31.0% +23.7%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 3 LITIGATION 38.1% 7-2
  2. 10 MY BOY PRINCE 31.0% 5-1
  3. 1 GOVERNOR SAM 18.0% 15-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 3 LITIGATION 66.4% 7-2
  2. 1 GOVERNOR SAM 47.4% 15-1
  3. 10 MY BOY PRINCE 43.2% 5-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 3 LITIGATION 81.9% 7-2
  2. 1 GOVERNOR SAM 73.6% 15-1
  3. 10 MY BOY PRINCE 51.6% 5-1
📋 Exacta Box
3-10-1
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
3 LITIGATION 10 MY BOY PRINCE 1 GOVERNOR SAM
🎲 Trifecta
3-10-1
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
3 → 10-1-4
Key LITIGATION to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
3-10-1-4
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
3/10 / 3/10 / 1/4/5 / 1/4/5
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 GOVERNOR SAM
2 BOLD JOURNEY
3 LITIGATION
4 WORKS FOR ME
5 REEF RUNNER
6 AG BULLET
7 CLOCK TOWER
8 JOHN THE BEER MAN
9 TWENTY SIX BLACK
10 MY BOY PRINCE