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DGENTRIES 10TH SAR JUNE 6 7F I500000 1 BON 7 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS GRADE 1 STAKE PURSE $500000 (04:52) (9 )

🏟 Saratoga 📅 2026-06-06 📏 7F Dirt WStphn-G1 💰 $500,000
📡 Fetch History

Field — 9 Runners

1
GILDED BANDIT
1.7%
RPR 95
Form 11-
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J ALVARADO JUNIOR
T MOTT WILLIAM I
By CHARLATAN Out of DIAMOND ORE
🥇 1.7% 🥈 9.9% 🥉 26.8% Avg 4.9
2
OBLITERATION
74.1%
RPR 97
Form 121-22211
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 8-1
J VELAZQUEZ J R
T ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
By VIOLENCE Out of I'MCLASSYANDSASSY
🥇 74.1% 🥈 90.9% 🥉 96.1% Avg 1.4
3
SIX SPEED
3.3%
RPR 80
Form -21113
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J ORTIZ IRAD JR
T WEAVER GEORGE
By NOT THIS TIME Out of BROWSE
🥇 3.3% 🥈 8.3% 🥉 13.6% Avg 7.2 ⚡ 334 longshot wins
4
STRADALE
0.7%
RPR 96
Form 2131223
Off 36d
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J SANTANA RICARDO JR
T ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
By YAUPON Out of TWITTERPATED
🥇 0.7% 🥈 4.5% 🥉 14.6% Avg 5.7 ⚡ 69 longshot wins
5
SOLITUDE DUDE
0.6%
RPR 99
Form 11111
Off 49d
lbs 124
ML 6-1
J PRAT FLAVIEN
T JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR
By YAUPON Out of AFTER THE PARTY
🥇 0.6% 🥈 4.8% 🥉 14.2% Avg 5.7
6
CRUDE VELOCITY
16.0%
RPR 99
Form 111
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 9-5
J GEROUX FLORENT
T BAFFERT BOB
By BEAU LIAM Out of SWEETNSOUR KITTY
🥇 16.0% 🥈 61.6% 🥉 82.0% Avg 2.5
7
ENGLISHMAN
1.7%
RPR 95
Form 111
Off 35d
lbs 124
ML 3-1
J ORTIZ JOSE L
T DEVAUX CHERIE
By MAXFIELD Out of IN IT FOR THE GOLD
🥇 1.7% 🥈 11.1% 🥉 30.4% Avg 4.7
8
CIVIL LIBERTY
0.3%
RPR 96
Form 12132
Off 55d
lbs 124
ML 10-1
J FRESU ANTONIO
T O'NEILL DOUG
By INDEPENDENCE HALL Out of LOVE AND RESPECT
🥇 0.3% 🥈 1.7% 🥉 5.8% Avg 6.7 ⚡ 26 longshot wins
9
TAJ MAHAL
1.6%
RPR 94
Form 2-21
Off 21d
lbs 124
ML 15-1
J FRANCO MANUEL
T RUSSELL BRITTANY T
By NYQUIST Out of OOLA GAL
🥇 1.6% 🥈 7.5% 🥉 16.6% Avg 6.2 ⚡ 160 longshot wins

📊 Brisnet Speed Figure Rankings

Horses ordered by Brisnet Speed Rating (BSR) — the higher the BSR, the faster the horse has run. This is Brisnet's primary selection indicator.
BSR Rank Horse Avg BSR (top-3) ML Odds Days Off Form Sim Win %
1 5 SOLITUDE DUDE SPEED LEADER 99 6-1 49d 11111 0.6%
2 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 99 9-5 35d 111 16.0%
3 2 OBLITERATION 97.7 8-1 21d -22211 74.1%
4 4 STRADALE 96 15-1 36d 131223 0.7%
5 8 CIVIL LIBERTY 96 10-1 55d 12132 0.3%
6 1 GILDED BANDIT 95.3 8-1 35d 11- 1.7%
7 7 ENGLISHMAN 95.3 3-1 35d 111 1.7%
8 9 TAJ MAHAL 94.3 15-1 21d 2-21 1.6%
9 3 SIX SPEED 80 10-1 35d -21113 3.3%

BSR (Brisnet Speed Rating): averaged across the horse's best 3 recent races. A BSR of 100+ is elite; 80–95 is competitive; below 70 is a lightly-raced or slower horse. Horses showing — are first-time starters with no recorded speed figures.

Simulation Results

10,000 runs  ·  Engine v3-trajectory-bounce  ·  2026-07-21 21:06:32
# Horse Win % ↕ Place % ↕ Show % ↕ Avg Finish ↕ Best ↕ Worst ↕ Base Score ↕ BSR Rank ⚡ Longshots
1 2 OBLITERATION
74.05%
90.90% 96.13% 1.42 1 9 122.1 #3 ≈ —
2 6 CRUDE VELOCITY
16.02%
61.57% 81.97% 2.55 1 9 114.2 #2 ≈ —
3 3 SIX SPEED
3.34%
8.27% 13.64% 7.23 1 9 93.4 #9 ▲ ⚡ 334
4 1 GILDED BANDIT
1.73%
9.85% 26.77% 4.88 1 9 105.9 #6 ≈ —
5 7 ENGLISHMAN
1.69%
11.07% 30.37% 4.66 1 9 106.6 #7 ≈ —
6 9 TAJ MAHAL
1.60%
7.46% 16.55% 6.20 1 9 101.1 #8 ≈ ⚡ 160
7 4 STRADALE
0.69%
4.45% 14.55% 5.67 1 9 103.6 #4 ▼ ⚡ 69
8 5 SOLITUDE DUDE
0.62%
4.77% 14.19% 5.69 1 9 103.5 #1 ▼ —
9 8 CIVIL LIBERTY
0.26%
1.66% 5.83% 6.72 1 9 100.2 #5 ▼ ⚡ 26

Win % = (times horse won ÷ 10,000 runs) × 100. Formula per run: Score = BSR·w + Form·3·w + Freshness + Post + Surface + Distance + Jockey + Trainer + Trajectory + Bounce + Condition + BeatLengths + N(0,σ) + DayFactor. Each factor is weighted by the adaptive calibration engine (engine v3-trajectory-bounce). BSR Rank = Brisnet's raw speed figure order; ▲ means simulator rates higher than BSR, ▼ lower, ≈ within 2 spots. ⚡ longshot wins = won while carrying 10/1+ morning line odds.

🎯 Value Rankings

All horses sorted by Value Rating (Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied%) — highest value at the top. Horses at 10/1+ are flagged as longshots.
# Horse ML Odds ML Implied % Sim Win % Place % Show % Value Rating ⚡ Longshot Wins
1 2 OBLITERATION 8-1 11.1%
74.05%
90.90% 96.13% 🔥 6.66x —
2 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 9-5 35.7%
16.02%
61.57% 81.97% 0.45x —
3 3 SIX SPEED LONGSHOT BEST VALUE 10-1 9.1%
3.34%
8.27% 13.64% 0.37x ⚡ 334
4 9 TAJ MAHAL LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
1.60%
7.46% 16.55% 0.26x ⚡ 160
5 1 GILDED BANDIT 8-1 11.1%
1.73%
9.85% 26.77% 0.16x —
6 4 STRADALE LONGSHOT 15-1 6.3%
0.69%
4.45% 14.55% 0.11x ⚡ 69
7 7 ENGLISHMAN 3-1 25%
1.69%
11.07% 30.37% 0.07x —
8 5 SOLITUDE DUDE 6-1 14.3%
0.62%
4.77% 14.19% 0.04x —
9 8 CIVIL LIBERTY LONGSHOT 10-1 9.1%
0.26%
1.66% 5.83% 0.03x ⚡ 26

Value Rating = Sim Win% ÷ ML Implied Win%. 🔥 2.0x+ = strong value; ✅ 1.5–1.99x = solid edge; 1.0–1.49x = slight edge; below 1x = overbet by the market. LONGSHOT badge = 10/1 morning line or longer. BEST VALUE = top-rated longshot by value.

🎲 Pure Chance

If every horse had an equal shot — 9 horses, ~11.1% each

Random noise added so the numbers aren't all identical. Compare Sim Win% vs Chance Win% to see which horses the simulator likes vs pure luck.

# Horse Chance Win% Sim Win% Edge Chance Bar
6 CRUDE VELOCITY 13.5% 16.0% +2.5%
7 ENGLISHMAN 13.5% 1.7% -11.8%
1 GILDED BANDIT 13.2% 1.7% -11.5%
3 SIX SPEED 12.9% 3.3% -9.6%
8 CIVIL LIBERTY 11.5% 0.3% -11.2%
5 SOLITUDE DUDE 9.3% 0.6% -8.7%
2 OBLITERATION 9.1% 74.1% +65.0%
4 STRADALE 8.7% 0.7% -8.0%
9 TAJ MAHAL 8.5% 1.6% -6.9%

Edge = Sim Win% minus Chance Win%. Positive = simulator favours this horse over random luck; negative = simulator thinks this horse is worse than a coin flip.

🎯 Suggested Picks

Based on 10,000 simulation runs
🥇 Top Win Picks
  1. 2 OBLITERATION 74.1% 8-1
  2. 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 16.0% 9-5
  3. 3 SIX SPEED 3.3% 10-1
🥈 Top Place Picks
  1. 2 OBLITERATION 90.9% 8-1
  2. 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 61.6% 9-5
  3. 7 ENGLISHMAN 11.1% 3-1
🥉 Top Show Picks
  1. 2 OBLITERATION 96.1% 8-1
  2. 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 82.0% 9-5
  3. 7 ENGLISHMAN 30.4% 3-1
📋 Exacta Box
2-6-3
Box top 3 — covers all combinations
2 OBLITERATION 6 CRUDE VELOCITY 3 SIX SPEED
🎲 Trifecta
2-6-3
Straight: 1st–2nd–3rd by sim rank
2 → 6-3-1
Key OBLITERATION to win, wheel next 3 for 2nd/3rd
💫 Superfecta
2-6-3-1
Box top 4 — covers all 1st–4th combos
2/6 / 2/6 / 3/1/7 / 3/1/7
Key top 2 in 1st & 2nd; use next 3 in 3rd & 4th

📋 Enter Actual Results

+ Enter Finish Positions
Prog Horse Finish Position Margin (lengths) Final Odds
1 GILDED BANDIT
2 OBLITERATION
3 SIX SPEED
4 STRADALE
5 SOLITUDE DUDE
6 CRUDE VELOCITY
7 ENGLISHMAN
8 CIVIL LIBERTY
9 TAJ MAHAL